The Masters offers what many consider to be the most competitive (and condensed) field of any tournament on the PGA Tour season. Because of this, some of the best golfers in the world are considered to be sleepers and qualify as ‘value bets’ in the betting markets.
In looking for true ‘values,’ I considered players who were currently sitting at 25-1 (+2500) odds to win outright or higher.
That said, here is a look at three of the top value bets going into the 2019 Masters.
Odds courtesy of MyBookie as of April 9, 2019.
Bubba Watson (+3000)
Watson is no stranger to success at The Masters. With two green jackets already in his closet, it’s clear that he is a threat to contend at Augusta National every time he tees it up.
Despite his wiry frame, Watson is a true bomber — he ranks third on the PGA Tour in both Driving Distance and SG: Off-the-Tee. With his length off the tee and the course’s favorable setup for lefties, Watson should find himself in position to post some really low scores if he can avoid any major mistakes. More importantly, this is a guy who knows Augusta National extremely well.
At 30-1, Watson is worth a long, hard look.
Jason Day (+3000)
While there is some risk involved in putting your money behind Day (he was forced to withdraw from the Arnold Palmer Invitational with a back injury last month), I am confident that he will play four rounds and contend at the 2019 Masters (one week after his WD he did finish T-8 at The Players Championship, after all).
Day is one of the best putters in the world (he is currently ranked fourth on the PGA Tour in SG: Putting), and as history has proven, being able to successfully navigate the greens at Augusta is one of the keys to taking home a green jacket. Furthermore, the 31-year-old Aussie has never finished worse than T-28 at the Masters, with his best finish being a T-2 in 2011.
Xander Schauffele (+4000)
Schauffele has only one career appearance at The Masters (he finished T-50 in 2018), but he is undoubtedly one of the premier young golfers in the world. When it comes to other indicators for success at Augusta, the 25-year-old checks most of the boxes.
The recent form is there (one win, six Top-25’s, and four Top-15’s in seven starts in 2019), he is elite in several relevant statistics (SG: Total, SG: Approach, SG: Tee-to-Green, SG: Putting, and Par 5 Scoring), and he has the length off the tee to put himself in position to contend.
Schauffele continues to fly under the radar for most people, but that will change if he puts together a solid week at Augusta.
- Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)
- Bryson DeChambeau (+2800)
- Hideki Matsuyama (+2800)
- Tony Finau (+4000)
- Adam Scott (+4000)
- Matt Kuchar (+4500)
- Patrick Cantlay (+6600)
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