NFL upset alert: Expect these underdogs to notch ATS wins in Week 13

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Saquon Barkley and the Giants should keep things interesting against the Mitchell Trubisky-less Bears in Week 13. | Grant Halverson/Getty Images

History has consistently proven that upsets happen every week in the NFL. With that being the case, we are fairly certain that there will be at least one or two shocking upsets during Week 13 of the 2018 NFL season.

There may not be an upset on the level of the double-digit underdog Buffalo Bills’ stunning straight-up win over the Minnesota Vikings in Week 3, but there is sure to be several teams that find themselves on upset alert come Sunday afternoon.

That said, here is a look at three potential upsets — against the spread (ATS) — in Week 13.

Odds courtesy of MyBookie as of December 1, 2018. 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+5.5) over Indianapolis Colts

This AFC South matchup will be played in Jacksonville, and as history has proven time and time again, home underdogs tend to fare pretty well in the NFL.

The Jaguars have been a massive disappointment in 2018, there is no arguing that. But at the same time, there is no denying that they have the talent to win on any given Sunday when they are clicking.

We are expecting a Colts win, but it will come by a field goal or less.

Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5) over Pittsburgh Steelers

This matchup (in Pittsburgh) has all kinds of playoff implications in the AFC. The Steelers are the front-runners in the AFC North, while the Chargers are looking to keep pace with the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West and hold on to their lead in the Wild Card race.

Our explanation here is simple: We see this game being decided by a field goal or less in either direction. The Steelers are extremely tough to beat at home, but Philip Rivers is having a career year and the Chargers are loaded with playmakers on both sides of the ball.

New York Giants (+4.5) over Chicago Bears

The Giants are in the midst of another dumpster fire of a season, but they should benefit from home field advantage (again, home underdogs tend to fare well in the NFL), and facing the Bears without starting quarterback Mitchell Trubisky.

Look for this to be a low-scoring affair that ends up being decided by a field goal or less. And if you are feeling really dangerous, the Giants’ money line (+185) might be worth a look.

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