Simply put: coaching in the NFL is a brutal business. The pay may be great, but with the exception of a handful of coaches, job security is something that is virtually non-existent — coaches often land on the NFL hot seat or lose their jobs after only one or two seasons on the job. In fact, the coaching business is so cutthroat that the oddsmakers in Las Vegas have established odds on which NFL head coach will be fired first in 2018.
Here’s a look at the coaches they believe are feeling the most heat.
Odds courtesy of Sportsbook.ag as of July 31, 2018.
Vance Joseph, Denver Broncos (+1000)
Joseph nearly lost his job following the Broncos’ disastrous 2017 season, which means that he will be coaching to save his job in 2018. If he leads Denver to anything short of a significant turnaround this fall, he will likely be unemployed next January.
Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati Bengals (+1000)
Lewis, who has been the Bengals head coach since 2003, has accumulated 125 career wins in Cincinnati. While that win total is impressive, Lewis has yet to lead the Bengals to a postseason victory. If that doesn’t change in the near future, Lewis will likely be cleaning out his office in January.
Jay Gruden, Washington Redskins (+1000)
Gruden has been rumored to be on the hot seat for the last couple of years — and nothing has changed. When it comes down to it, Gruden’s job may be dependent on the play of quarterback Alex Smith.
Adam Gase, Miami Dolphins (+750)
In 2016 Gase led the Dolphins to a 10-6 record and a playoff appearance, and his future in Miami appeared to be bright. Unfortunately, after a massively disappointing 6-10 record in 2017, Gase is now feeling some heat. Bottom line: a repeat of last year’s performance will likely cost him his job.
Dirk Koetter, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+500)
The Buccaneers reportedly flirted with the idea of firing Koetter last year, making it clear that his job will be very much on the line in 2018. To make matters worse, Koetter will have the added pressure of keeping the Bucs afloat while quarterback Jameis Winston serves his three-game suspension to open the season.
Hue Jackson, Cleveland Browns (+350)
There’s really no sugarcoating Jackson’s situation in Cleveland. He’s led the Browns to a 1-31 record in his two seasons on the job, and the front office that hired him is no longer employed. If his team doesn’t show signs of improvement in a hurry, Jackson will likely be fired before the end of the 2018 season.
Other names to watch:
- Todd Bowles, New York Jets (+1500)
- Bill O’Brien, Houston Texans (+2000)
- Jason Garrett, Dallas Cowboys (+2000)
- No coach fired before start of Week 17 (+400)
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