Denver Broncos 2018 Prop Bets: Betting Odds and Predictions

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Case Keenum looks like a significant upgrade for the Denver Broncos. | Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

Expectations are high for the the Denver Broncos in 2018 as they attempt to bounce back from their disastrous 2017 season. The team added what appears to be an outstanding draft class, they re-worked their coaching staff, and they added a proven starting quarterback in Case Keenum. While all of that looks nice, if you’re looking for an accurate gauge on how successful the Broncos will be in 2018, you should look no further than the prop bets and betting odds released by sportsbooks all over the globe.

As history has proven, oddsmakers are extremely accurate when it comes to forecasting how an NFL season is going to play out. With that being said, here’s a look at the prop bets (and odds) available for the Broncos in 2018, as well as our predictions for how these wagers will turn out.

Odds courtesy of Sportsbook.ag and BetDSI as of August 16, 2018.

Regular Season Wins (7.5 wins)

  • Over: -140
  • Under: Even

If their first preseason game ( a 42-28 loss to the Minnesota Vikings) was any indication, the Broncos could be in for another disappointing season. Granted, it’s hard to get an accurate feel for what type of team Denver will be in 2018 based off of minimal work (six plays in two series) from starting quarterback Case Keenum and the first team offense, and a first-team defense that was without future Hall of Fame outside linebacker Von Miller when they got scorched by the Vikings’ first team offensive unit. That said, here is a quick look at their schedule and my early predictions on how each game will play out.

  • Seattle Seahawks – Win
  • Oakland Raiders – Win
  •  @ Baltimore Ravens – Loss
  • Kansas City Chiefs – Win
  • @ New York Jets – Win
  • Los Angeles Rams – Loss
  • @ Arizona Cardinals – Win
  • @ Kansas City Chiefs – Loss
  • Houston Texans – Loss
  • @ Los Angeles Chargers – Loss
  • Pittsburgh Steelers – Loss
  • @ Cincinnati Bengals – Win
  • @ San Francisco 49ers – Loss
  • Cleveland Browns – Win
  • @ Oakland Raiders – Loss
  • Los Angeles Chargers – Loss

As of today, I am confident in four wins for the Broncos — against the Jets, Cardinals, Bengals, and Browns. Likewise, I am confident in five losses for Denver — against the Rams, Chiefs (in Kansas City), Texans, Chargers (in Los Angeles), and Steelers.

That leaves seven games that could go either way — against the Seahawks, Raiders (twice), Ravens (in Baltimore), Chiefs (at home), 49ers (in San Francisco), and Chargers (at home). I see the Broncos beating the Seahawks, splitting with the Chiefs and Raiders, and losing to the Ravens and Chargers (at home), bringing their overall season record to 7-9.

Prediction: Under 7.5 wins.

Broncos to win Super Bowl 53 (+4000)

We understand diehard fans wanting to place a wager on their favorite team, but betting on the Broncos to win Super Bowl 53 would be the equivalent to donating your money to Vegas.

Prediction: Not going to happen.

Broncos to win AFC (+1800)

See above. Even if the Broncos manage to sneak their way into the playoffs, they aren’t deep enough to contend with the likes of the New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, Houston Texans, and Jacksonville Jaguars.

Prediction: Not going to happen.

Broncos to Make/Miss the playoffs

  • Make: +260
  • Miss: -340

For the Broncos supporters that want to make a bet on the team in 2018, this one might make sense. If things go really well, Denver will have a chance at winning the AFC West or locking up a Wild Card spot. To do so, they will have to win at least nine games.

Unfortunately, the payout (a $100 wager collects $260) doesn’t really match the risk here.

Prediction: Long shot, but stranger things have happened.

Broncos win AFC West (+375)

Based on the odds, the Broncos are predicted to finish dead last in the AFC West in 2018. If the Keenum signing pans out, Denver will have a chance to contend here. That said, they simply do not have the overall roster talent and depth that the Chargers and Chiefs have.

Prediction: Long shot, probably not going to happen.

Case Keenum to win NFL MVP (+8000)

If the Broncos somehow defy the odds (and prove us to be incredibly wrong) and make a deep postseason run, it will likely be because of the play of Keenum. Can it be done? Yes. Will it be done? Probably not.

Prediction: Not going to happen, save your money.

Von Miller to win NFL MVP (+10000)

Only two defensive players have ever won the NFL MVP award — Alan Page in 1971 and Lawrence Taylor in 1986. For as good as Miller is, he won’t be joining that list in 2018.

Prediction: Not going to happen, save your money.

Cortland Sutton to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+3000)

Sutton has been arguably the biggest star of Denver’s training camp in 2018. The rookie out of SMU is undoubtedly the most physically gifted wide receiver on the Broncos roster, but he will be contending with Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders (both Pro Bowlers) for targets.

Be that as it may, Sutton has the makings of a perennial All-Pro and red zone matchup nightmare. If the playbook click for him, Sutton is the type of talent that could post an Odell Beckham Jr.-esque (91 receptions, 1,305 yards, 12 touchdowns) rookie season.

Prediction: A lot has to happen, making this unlikely. But this is a long shot that actually has a chance.

Royce Freeman to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+3000)

Freeman is in track to be the Broncos’ lead running back by the end of September (at the latest). A 1,000-yard, 10 touchdown season isn’t out of the question for the former Oregon star. If he reaches those numbers, he will contend for this award. At 30-1, this may actually be a bet worth making.

Prediction: Competition will be stiff, making this a long shot. Worth a wager, but likely not happening.

DaeSean Hamilton to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+15000)

Hamilton looks like he’s going to be a really good NFL wide receiver, but he’s not going to win the offensive rookie of the year award in 2018.

Prediction: Not going to happen, save your money.

Vance Joseph to be the first coach fired in 2018 (+800)

This race is likely going to come down to Dirk Koetter, Hue Jackson, and Joseph. Koetter may get a pass due to Jameis Winston’s suspension, but the pressure will be on Jackson, who has guided the Browns to a 1-31 record in his two seasons on the job.

In case you don’t recall, Joseph was nearly fired last offseason. And if the Broncos get off to a slow start, he likely won’t finish the season as the team’s head coach. This is another bet that is worth a long, hard look.

Prediction: Not a bad wager to make, I think Joseph will make it through the season, however.

Von Miller to lead the NFL in Sacks (+1800)

Simply put: getting 18-1 odds that Miller is going to lead the NFL in sacks is a no brainer — especially since teams now have to respect Bradley Chubb on the other side.

Prediction: Very real possibility. Make this bet.

Von Miller to win Defensive Player of the Year (+1200)

Competition will be tough here (see Aaron Donald, J.J. Watt, Joey Bosa, Jalen Ramsey, etc.). But if Miller can put together a complete season, he will be in the running.

Prediction: Not a bad wager to place, but I don’t see it happening (mostly due to the Broncos’ projected win/loss record).

Bradley Chubb to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+300)

Chubb has the look of a future All-Pro. He is on track to be a Week 1 starter in the Broncos defense, and thanks to the presence of Miller, he will face one-on-one pass blocking in almost all pass rush situations.

Chicago Bears linebacker Roquan Smith will be tough to beat here, but I like Chubb’s chances.

Prediction: Make this bet, Chubb is going to win (barring injury).

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