Dallas Cowboys 2018 Prop Bets: Betting Odds and Predictions

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The Dallas Cowboys have high hopes in 2018. | Tom Pennington/Getty Images

The Dallas Cowboys took a step back and had a highly disappointing season in 2017. They opened the season with Super Bowl aspirations, but ultimately wound up posting a 9-7 overall record, missing the postseason altogether just one year after going 13-3 and earning the top seed in the 2016 NFC Playoffs.

As we head into the 2018 NFL season, the forecast for the Cowboys looks uncertain. On one hand, the drama with Ezekiel Elliott is now officially behind them and their outstanding offensive line returns healthy and in tact. On the other hand, their defense is still full of question marks, they have to replace Hall of Fame tight end Jason Witten, and they have to figure out who is going to be their go-to, No. 1 wide receiver. Will they again go on to exceed expectations? Only time will tell.

As history has proven, oddsmakers are extremely accurate when it comes to forecasting how an NFL season is going to play out. With that being said, here’s a look at the prop bets (and odds) available for the Cowboys in 2018, as well as our predictions for how these wagers will turn out.

Odds courtesy of Sportsbook.ag, MyBookie, and BetDSI as of August 20, 2018.

Regular Season Wins (8.5 wins)

  • Over: -110
  • Under: -120

Vegas is expecting the Cowboys to be a mediocre football team in 2018. And with a close look at their schedule we agree.

Here’s how we see all 16 of the Cowboys’ games playing out this fall.

  • @ Carolina Panthers – Loss
  • New York Giants – Win
  •  @ Seattle Seahawks – Win
  • Detroit Lions – Win
  • @ Houston Texans – Loss
  • Jacksonville Jaguars – Loss
  • @ Washington Redskins – Win
  • Tennessee Titans – Win
  • @ Philadelphia Eagles – Loss
  • @ Atlanta Falcons – Loss
  • Washington Redskins – Win
  • New Orleans Saints – Loss
  • Philadelphia Eagles – Loss
  • @ Indianapolis Colts – Win
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Win
  • @ New York Giants – Loss

A lot can change between now and Week 1, but as of today, we are predicting the Cowboys to go 8-8 in 2018. If their rushing attack returns to dominance, they could easily prove us wrong, though.

Prediction: Under 8.5 wins.

Cowboys to win Super Bowl 53 (+3000)

With a dominant offensive line and an All-Pro running back, the Cowboys’ offense is built for January/February success. But at the end of the day, Dallas’ Super Bowl hopes are going to be heavily reliant on the performance of their defense.

Prediction: Not going to happen, save your money.

Cowboys to win NFC (+1500)

See above. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the Cowboys make a playoff run, but we just don’t see their defense holding up against teams like the Eagles, Falcons, Packers, Vikings, or Saints.

Prediction: Not going to happen.

Cowboys to Make/Miss the playoffs

  • Make: +140
  • Miss: -170

For the most avid ‘Boys backers that want to make a bet on the team in 2018, this one might make sense. In the end, the payout on both sides may not be worth the risk.

Prediction: We believe they will miss the postseason, but do not recommend making this wager (due to the odds).

Cowboys win NFC East (+360)

If Dak Prescott improves and Elliott and the offensive line can stay healthy, the Cowboys could contend. In the end, we just don’t see it happening.

Prediction: Stranger things have happened, but we won’t be making this bet.

Ezekiel Elliott to win NFL MVP (+4000)

It takes A LOT for a running back to win MVP honors in today’s NFL. For reference, the last two running backs to win the NFL MVP award were Adrian Peterson (2012) LaDainian Tomlinson (2006). Here’s what their final stat lines looked like:

  • Peterson: 348 carries, 2,097 rushing yards, 12 rushing touchdowns, 40 receptions, 217 receiving yards, 1 touchdown reception.
  • Tomlinson: 348 carries, 1,815 rushing yards, 28 rushing touchdowns, 56 receptions, 508 receiving yards, 3 touchdown receptions.

Elliott is the type of back that can put up these types of numbers, but will he? Probably not.

Prediction: Unlikely. Save your money.

Dak Prescott to win NFL MVP (+5000)

For the Cowboys to reach their goals in 2018, Prescott will have to play at an MVP-caliber level, which is possible, but unlikely.

Prediction: Not going to happen, save your money.

Dak Prescott to lead the NFL in passing yards (+10000)

Simply put: sitting in the pocket and airing it out 40 times per game isn’t Prescott’s strong suit. The odds here reflect that.

Prediction: Don’t be a fool, avoid this bet.

Dak Prescott to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns (+6000)

This one is more likely than the passing yards prop bet for Prescott, but it’s still highly, highly unlikely.

Prediction: Avoid this.

Ezekiel Elliott to lead the NFL in rushing yards (+300)

Elliott is currently the odds-on favorite here, and we like his chances.

Prediction: Very real possibility. Make this bet.

Ezekiel Elliott to lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns (+450)

See above. With the Cowboys’ offensive line, Elliott is in line for a massive season in 2018 (barring injury).

Prediction: Very real possibility. Make this bet.

DeMarcus Lawrence to lead the NFL in Sacks (+1600)

Lawrence finished in a tie for second place in the NFL in sacks last year, which makes this all the more enticing.

Prediction: Worth a long hard look at 16-1 odds. Lawrence is not our pick, however.

Michael Gallup to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+3000)

Gallup has been one of the biggest stars of Cowboys’ training camp. He has worked almost exclusively with the first-team offense, and should see plenty of targets in 2018. In fact, we expect the former Colorado State star to be the Cowboys’ No. 1 wide receiver by the end of the year.

Prediction: This has a realistic shot. Not my pick to win, but I wouldn’t blame you for making this bet — especially at a 30-1 payout.

Jason Garrett to be the first coach fired in 2018 (+2000)

This race is likely going to come down to Dirk Koetter (Buccaneers), Hue Jackson (Browns), and Vance Joseph (Broncos). Dallas owner Jerry Jones continues to back Garrett, but in our eyes, anything short of a playoff appearance will cost the 52-year-old coach his job. But will he be the first coach fired in 2018? Nope.

Prediction: Don’t be tempted by the odds. This isn’t going to happen.

DeMarcus Lawrence to win Defensive Player of the Year (+2500)

Competition will be tough here (see Aaron Donald, J.J. Watt, Von Miller Joey Bosa, Jalen Ramsey, etc.). But if Lawrence can lead the NFL in sacks, he will be in the running.

Prediction: Not a bad wager to place, but I don’t see it happening.

Leighton Vander Esch to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+1200)

As of today, Vander Esch, a former Boise State star, is slated to backup Jaylon Smith. He may crack the starting lineup by the end of the season, but don’t expect him to win this award.

Chicago Bears linebacker Roquan Smith and Denver Broncos defensive end/outside linebacker Bradley Chubb will be tough to beat here.

Prediction: Save your money, not worth the risk.

Who will be the Cowboys No. 1 wide receiver for Week 1?

  • Allen Hurns (+120)
  • Tavon Austin (+210)
  • Cole Beasley (+300)
  • Deonte Thompson (+400)
  • Michael Gallup (+600)
  • Terrance Williams (+600)

This wager, offered by MyBookie, will be based on the Cowboys’ official Week 1 depth chart. That said, the smart money would be on either Hurns or Beasley, who are both proven veterans. We believe Gallup will be Dallas’ go-to wideout, but their depth chart likely won’t reflect this.

Prediction: Beasley

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Posted in: NFL