The Buffalo Bills defied the odds in 2017. They opened the season with a win total projection of just six games, before ultimately going on to post a 9-7 overall record and earn a Wild Card berth in the AFC Playoffs.
As we head into the 2018 NFL season, the forecast for the Bills looks very similar to 2017. Will they again go on to exceed expectations? Only time will tell.
As history has proven, oddsmakers are extremely accurate when it comes to forecasting how an NFL season is going to play out. With that being said, here’s a look at the prop bets (and odds) available for the Bills in 2018, as well as our predictions for how these wagers will turn out.
Regular Season Wins (6 wins)
- Over: +130
- Under: -160
Vegas is expecting the Bills to take a step back in 2018, despite the fact that they won nine games and made a playoff appearance in 2017. And with a close look at their schedule we agree.
Here’s how we see all 16 of Buffalo’s games playing out this fall.
- @ Baltimore Ravens – Loss
- Los Angeles Chargers – Loss
- @ Minnesota Vikings – Loss
- @ Green Bay Packers – Loss
- Tennessee Titans – Win
- @ Houston Texans – Loss
- @ Indianapolis Colts – Loss
- New England Patriots – Loss
- Chicago Bears – Win
- @ New York Jets – Loss
- Jacksonville Jaguars – Loss
- @ Miami Dolphins – Loss
- New York Jets – Win
- Detroit Lions – Loss
- @ New England Patriots – Loss
- Miami Dolphins – Win
A lot can change between now and Week 1, but as of today, we are predicting the Bills, who will likely open the season with a rookie quarterback, to go 4-12 in 2018.
Prediction: Under 6 wins.
Bills to win Super Bowl 53 (+14500)
As enticing as this bet will be for members of the Bills Mafia, betting the Bills to win Super Bowl 53 would essentially be nothing more than a donation to your favorite sports book.
Prediction: Not going to happen, save your money.
Bills to win AFC (+7000)
See above. The Bills have the worst odds of winning the AFC Championship in the entire conference.
Prediction: Not going to happen.
Bills to Make/Miss the playoffs
- Make: +525
- Miss: -800
For the most avid Bills backers that want to make a bet on the team in 2018, this one might make sense. If things go really well, Buffalo will likely be able to contend for a Wild Card spot in the AFC.
Prediction: Long shot, but stranger things have happened.
Bills win AFC East (+1300)
In all honesty, we were surprised to see the Bills’ AFC East championship odds come in this favorable. For this to happen, something catastrophic would have to happen to the Patriots.
Prediction: Extreme long shot, probably not going to happen.
LeSean McCoy to win NFL MVP (+15000)
For ‘Shady’ to contend for NFL MVP honors he will have to have a career year in 2018. Given the uncertainty of Buffalo’s quarterback situation, and the fact that he is 30-years-old, it’s hard to see that happening for McCoy.
Prediction: Not going to happen, save your money.
LeSean McCoy to lead the NFL in rushing (+3000)
We could actually see this happening. McCoy, a likely future Hall of Famer, will have some stiff competition here, but if he stays healthy, the six-time Pro Bowler is still one of the NFL’s best running backs.
Prediction: Worth a long, hard look, but probably won’t happen.
Josh Allen to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+750)
Allen has a chance to lock up the Bills’ starting quarterback job on Sunday afternoon against the Cincinnati Bengals. If he seals the deal and is named Buffalo’s Week 1 starter, the former Wyoming standout has to be considered one of the front runners to take home this award.
Allen will struggle at times as a rookie, but if he leads Buffalo to seven or eight wins, he will get Rookie of the Year votes.
Prediction: This has a realistic shot. Not my pick to win, but I wouldn’t blame you for making this bet.
Sean McDermott to be the first coach fired in 2018 (+7500)
McDermott led the Bills to a surprise playoff appearance in 2017, his first year on the job. Bottom line: McDermott isn’t going anywhere, even if his team takes a major step backwards in 2018,
This race is likely going to come down to Dirk Koetter (Buccaneers), Hue Jackson (Browns), and Vance Joseph (Broncos).
Prediction: Don’t be tempted by the odds. This isn’t going to happen.
Tremaine Edmunds to win Defensive Player of the Year (+20000)
Edmunds may prove to be a star in due time, but he isn’t going to win this award as a rookie in 2018.
Prediction: The odds are enticing, but save your money, this isn’t happening.
Tremaine Edmunds to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+1000)
Edmunds is on track to be a Week 1 starter, so he will have plenty of chances to separate himself from the pack in the race to win Defensive Rookie of the Year honors.
Chicago Bears linebacker Roquan Smith and Denver Broncos defensive end/outside linebacker Bradley Chubb will be tough to beat here, but Edmunds should contend.
Prediction: Worth a look, he’s not my pick, but Edmunds has a legitimate chance.
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